MathTwo-Variable Data and ScatterplotsLow frequency

SAT Math: Interpret residuals (difference between actual and predicted values)

12+ practice questions in Praczo

What you need to know

The concept, explained

  • 1

    A residual is the difference between the actual y-value and the predicted y-value: residual = actual − predicted.

  • 2

    A positive residual means the actual value is above the model's prediction; a negative residual means below.

  • 3

    Small residuals (scattered randomly around zero) suggest a good fit. A clear pattern in residuals means the model is not capturing the data well.

  • 4

    The sum of residuals for a least-squares line of best fit is approximately zero.

Common mistakes
  • Computing predicted − actual instead of actual − predicted. The SAT uses actual minus predicted.
  • Confusing a large positive residual with a good fit — residuals near zero indicate good fit, not large ones.
Try a sample question

SAT-style practice

The line of best fit predicts y = 3x + 2. A data point has actual values x = 4 and y = 17. What is the residual at this point?

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